As the 2025 Fantasy Football draft season heats up, navigating the ever-shifting landscape of player values is crucial for success. Average draft position (ADP) data often lags behind the reality of current player hype and concerns. This article cuts through the noise, identifying key risers and fallers to ensure you’re making informed decisions in your final drafts. From breakout rookies to veterans facing uncertainty, we’ll dissect the players you need to value correctly to dominate your league.
This guide highlights those players whose stock is soaring or plummeting, providing insights into why their values are changing and where you should realistically draft them. By understanding these shifts, you can avoid overpaying for fading stars or missing out on potential league-winners. Prepare to adjust your strategy and gain a competitive edge with this essential draft prep information.
Top 10 Fantasy Football Risers for 2025
These players have seen their draft stock increase significantly due to factors like offseason performance, trades, or injuries to teammates. Understanding their potential and adjusting your draft strategy accordingly is key.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (WAS, RB)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has emerged as a significant riser this offseason. The Commanders’ decision to trade Brian Robinson Jr. has opened the door for Croskey-Merritt to potentially take on a larger role. While the team also has Austin Ekeler and Chris Rodriguez, Croskey-Merritt’s explosiveness gives him the potential to be a steal if drafted in the later rounds.
Draft Recommendation: If he falls to Round 9, he’s worth the pick, but don’t overreach.
TreVeyon Henderson (NE, RB)
TreVeyon Henderson is a rookie running back generating buzz in New England. He could quickly become a key player in the Patriots’ offense, potentially exceeding expectations if he earns a significant role early in the season. Henderson’s talent makes him a worthy pick in the middle rounds.
Draft Recommendation: Worth a Round 3 pick.
Ricky Pearsall (SF, WR)
Ricky Pearsall’s stock is on the rise, especially with Brandon Aiyuk’s injury. He has the opportunity to establish himself as a reliable target in the 49ers’ offense. Pearsall’s potential for early targets makes him a valuable mid-round pick.
Draft Recommendation: Target him around Round 7, but be prepared to move up if necessary.
Dak Prescott (DAL, QB)
Dak Prescott is poised for a strong season with a pass-heavy approach in the Cowboys’ offense. With the addition of George Pickens and the presence of Javonte Williams, Prescott could see a high volume of pass attempts, making him a potential steal relative to his ADP.
Draft Recommendation: A solid QB1 option closer to Patrick Mahomes than ADP suggests.
Evan Engram (DEN, TE)
Evan Engram is gaining traction in Denver, with positive reports and a clear path to targets. While concerns about age and injury history exist, Engram’s potential in the Broncos’ offense makes him a viable late-round tight end option. Consider drafting him to pair with higher upside rookies.
Draft Recommendation: Good option for pairing with rookies like Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland.
Top 10 Fantasy Football Fallers for 2025
These players have seen their draft stock decline due to various reasons, including poor performance, injuries, or changes in team dynamics. Be cautious when considering these players in your drafts.
Breece Hall (NYJ, RB)
Breece Hall’s value has decreased due to the Jets’ commitment to giving Braelon Allen a significant role. This split backfield could limit Hall’s touches and overall production, making him a riskier pick than previously anticipated. Consider the impact of Justin Fields on the passing game which could affect Hall’s pass-catching upside.
Draft Recommendation: Still a Round 4 pick, but with caution.
Garrett Wilson (NYJ, WR)
Garrett Wilson’s potential is capped by the Jets’ run-heavy approach and Justin Fields’ passing limitations. Even with a high target share, Wilson’s efficiency may suffer, making it difficult for him to reach elite WR status. The low pass volume is a real concern for Wilson.
Draft Recommendation: Wait until Round 5 to draft.
Jayden Reed (GB, WR)
Jayden Reed’s outlook has dimmed due to the Packers drafting Matthew Golden and Reed’s foot injury. With increased competition for targets and a run-heavy offense, Reed’s ceiling and floor appear low. Consider that he may not even be in the top two for targets.
Draft Recommendation: Do not draft before Round 11.
Kaleb Johnson (PIT, RB)
Kaleb Johnson has struggled in the preseason, particularly in pass protection. This has led to a shift in favor of Jaylen Warren, who just received an extension. His inability to secure the Najee Harris role has hurt his value. It’s possible that Kenneth Gainwell has a role early in the season.
Draft Recommendation: In full PPR, do not draft until Round 8.
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA, QB)
Tua Tagovailoa’s appeal as a QB1 has waned due to concerns about the Dolphins’ team dynamics and his concussion history. The Jonnu Smith trade didn’t help, and there are questions about Darren Waller’s ability to fill that role. Turmoil around Tyreek Hill adds further risk. Tagovailoa’s injury history presents a significant risk.
Draft Recommendation: Should go undrafted in most one-QB leagues.
Final Thoughts for 2025 Fantasy Football Drafts
Staying informed about player trends is essential as you prepare for your 2025 Fantasy Football drafts. By recognizing the risers and fallers, you can optimize your picks and gain a significant advantage. The insights provided here should guide you in making smarter decisions and constructing a winning roster.
Remember to continuously monitor player news and adjust your strategy accordingly. Use this knowledge to dominate your drafts and set yourself up for a successful fantasy football season. Good luck!
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