Denis Shapovalov vs Vilius Gaubas Prediction – ATP Italian Open 2025

The 2025 ATP Italian Open is set to feature an intriguing round of 64 match between Denis Shapovalov and Vilius Gaubas. Tennis enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike are keenly anticipating this clash. With Shapovalov’s experience on the ATP tour and Gaubas’s emerging talent, this match promises a blend of skill and strategy. Understanding the dynamics of such a match is crucial for anyone looking to place informed bets or simply enjoy the sport with a deeper appreciation.

This article provides a comprehensive prediction for the Shapovalov vs. Gaubas match, leveraging advanced statistical analysis and machine learning. We delve into key aspects such as head-to-head records, current form, and betting odds to offer valuable insights. Our aim is to equip you with the knowledge needed to make smarter betting decisions and enhance your overall viewing experience.

Here, we’ll explore the statistical probabilities favoring each player, analyze the betting landscape with recommended best bets, and offer a final prediction based on our data-driven model. Additionally, we provide essential details about the match, including the date, time, and location, ensuring you have all the necessary information at your fingertips.

Who Will Win? Denis Shapovalov vs. Vilius Gaubas Prediction

Stats Insider’s predictive model, driven by machine learning and extensive data analysis, offers a compelling insight into the upcoming match. By simulating the Shapovalov-Gaubas match 10,000 times, the model assesses each player’s probability of winning, considering factors such as past performance, current form, and playing conditions.

According to our analysis, Denis Shapovalov holds a 64% chance of defeating Vilius Gaubas in this round of the ATP Italian Open. This percentage is derived from the model’s simulations, reflecting Shapovalov’s overall strength and experience on the court. However, tennis is a sport full of surprises, and underdogs can certainly cause upsets.

While Shapovalov is the statistical favorite, it’s essential to consider the betting odds and potential value. Our analysis goes beyond simple win probabilities, providing guidance on where the best betting opportunities lie.

Shapovalov vs. Gaubas: Analyzing the Odds

Understanding the betting odds is crucial for making informed decisions. Here’s a breakdown of the current odds for the Shapovalov vs. Gaubas match, as provided by leading Australian bookmakers:

  • Head to Head: Shapovalov $1.40, Gaubas $3.00
  • First Set: Shapovalov $1.50, Gaubas $2.62

These odds indicate that Shapovalov is the favorite, with a lower payout for a winning bet. Gaubas, as the underdog, offers a higher potential payout. However, the odds don’t always tell the whole story. Our analysis identifies potential edges by comparing the bookmakers’ odds with our model’s calculated probabilities.

For instance, TAB currently lists Shapovalov at $1.40 and Gaubas at $3.00 for the head-to-head market. For the first set, the odds are $1.50 for Shapovalov and $2.62 for Gaubas. These numbers serve as a starting point for our best bet recommendations, which are designed to maximize your potential returns.

Unlock the Best Bets for Shapovalov vs. Gaubas

Based on our simulations and wagering intelligence, we’ve identified the following as the best betting opportunities for this match:

  • Head to Head: Gaubas at $3.00 with TAB
  • First Set: Gaubas at $2.00 with TAB (1.6% edge)

A 🔥 indicates a particularly strong betting opportunity across all sports, according to Stats Insider.

While our predictive model suggests that Shapovalov is more likely to win, betting on Gaubas presents a better value proposition. This is because our analysis has identified a 4.1% edge when comparing our data-led probabilities to the current odds. This edge means that the potential payout for a Gaubas win is higher than what the actual probability suggests, making it a smart bet.

Similarly, for the first set, our suggested bet is on Gaubas at $2.00. Although Shapovalov is favored to win the first set, the odds for Gaubas reflect an opportunity based on our model’s assessment of the match dynamics.

Comprehensive Match Prediction

Stats Insider offers extensive betting coverage for the Shapovalov vs. Gaubas match at the ATP Italian Open, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilities. Our model is continuously updated to provide the most accurate tips before the match.

Our predictions are based on 10,000 simulations, which factor in various elements such as player statistics, recent performance, and head-to-head records. This thorough approach ensures that our betting tips are reliable and trustworthy. For the best tennis tips and predictions across a range of sports, make sure to check our site regularly.

The match promises to be a captivating contest between two talented players with distinct strengths. While Shapovalov is the favorite, Gaubas has the potential to cause an upset. By following our predictions and betting tips, you can enhance your betting strategy and increase your chances of success.

Essential Match Details

Here are the key details for the Denis Shapovalov vs. Vilius Gaubas match:

  • Match: Denis Shapovalov vs. Vilius Gaubas
  • Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 10:30 PM AEST
  • Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men’s Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 64

Please note that all dates and times are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless stated otherwise. Make sure to adjust for your local time zone to catch the match live.

Final Thoughts and Responsible Gambling

Our Denis Shapovalov vs. Vilius Gaubas predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations, expertly curated by our team of data scientists and analysts. We employ cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are both trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make well-informed betting decisions.

While we strive to provide the most accurate predictions, it’s crucial to remember that gambling involves risk. If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting, please gamble responsibly and manage your finances carefully. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit .

Stats Insider is your premier source for tennis betting information in Australia, providing the latest tennis odds, insightful predictions, and an innovative, data-driven approach to sports analysis. Enhance your betting experience with our expert guidance and comprehensive coverage of the tennis world.

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