The world of UFC is always buzzing with potential matchups and weight class shifts. Recently, Vicente Luque, a seasoned welterweight fighter, shared his thoughts on Islam Makhachev’s potential move up to the 170-pound division. Luque believes that Makhachev, the current lightweight champion, has a “good chance” at winning the welterweight title. This is a bold statement, considering the size and power differences between the two weight classes. This article delves into Luque’s analysis, the challenges Makhachev would face, and what this potential move could mean for the UFC landscape.
Makhachev’s dominance at lightweight is undeniable, with an impressive 15-fight win streak and victories over top contenders. However, the welterweight division presents a new set of challenges, including bigger, stronger opponents. Luque’s insights provide valuable perspective on Makhachev’s chances, considering his grappling skills and potential adjustments needed to compete at a higher weight. This article examines the key factors that could influence Makhachev’s success, from his ground game to his ability to handle the increased power of welterweights.
Makhachev’s Potential in the Welterweight Division
Vicente Luque believes Islam Makhachev’s entry into the welterweight division will be “very cool,” expecting the Russian star to find success. Luque emphasizes Makhachev’s exceptional ground game, stating, “I’ve trained with him a few times, so I can say that he really is very good on the ground, a ton of pressure and technique.”
Makhachev’s ability to dominate opponents with wrestling and submission skills at lightweight is well-documented. His track record includes tapping out numerous jiu-jitsu black belts. However, replicating that success in the welterweight division, where opponents are significantly larger and stronger, presents a unique challenge. Luque acknowledges this, noting that welterweights “undoubtedly hit harder than the guys at 155.”
Despite the size difference, Luque believes Makhachev’s refined ground game and top-notch wrestling could compensate. “As for the height, he’s not that tall, but if he compensates with the ground, with his top-notch wrestling, I think he won’t have problems in the division,” Luque said. The key for Makhachev will be to close the distance and utilize his grappling skills effectively, mitigating the power disadvantage.
Size and Power Disadvantages
One of the most significant hurdles for Islam Makhachev in the welterweight division is the size and power of his potential opponents. Makhachev, standing at 5-foot-10 with a 70.5-inch reach, would be at a disadvantage against many welterweights. The current welterweight champion and top 15 ranked athletes all possess height and reach advantages.
Luque points out that the increased power at welterweight could be a deciding factor, especially in longer fights. “It could be more difficult as the fight progresses, three or five rounds, and the power is a whole other game. That makes a difference,” he stated. Makhachev’s ability to absorb and withstand the heavier strikes of welterweights will be crucial to his success.
The need for Makhachev to add more weight and power compared to his time at lightweight is another consideration. Luque wonders if Makhachev is “looking to add more weight and maybe more power compared to when we trained, since he was always fighting at 155.” This adjustment could impact Makhachev’s speed and agility, potentially affecting his overall performance.
Potential Matchup with Della Maddalena
There is speculation that Islam Makhachev’s welterweight debut could be against the newly-crowned champion, Della Maddalena. Maddalena boasts an impressive 8-0 record under the UFC banner, with five finishes. This potential matchup would be a significant test for Makhachev, immediately pitting him against one of the division’s most dangerous fighters.
Luque acknowledges Maddalena’s finishing ability, stating that he “scored five finishes over his 8-0 run under the UFC banner.” Makhachev’s grappling skills would be essential in neutralizing Maddalena’s striking and securing a victory. However, the size and power disparity could make it challenging for Makhachev to impose his will on the ground.
Makhachev’s refined ground game is a key asset, but grappling against heavier opponents demands more strength and energy. Luque notes, “when you’re grappling against heavier guys, that demands more strength, it wears you off.” Makhachev’s conditioning and ability to manage his energy levels throughout the fight would be critical in a potential bout against Maddalena.
Luque’s Upcoming Fight with Holland
While discussing Makhachev’s potential in the welterweight division, Vicente Luque is also preparing for his first fight of 2025. He is set to face Kevin Holland at this weekend’s UFC 316 in Newark. Luque is coming off a victory against Joaquin Buckley in December and aims to maintain his momentum.
Luque describes his upcoming fight as a “great match-up for me style-wise,” adding, “I like to fight aggressive opponents, people that come to fight. I can counter and capitalize on their aggressiveness, on the feet and on the ground.” His strategy involves using Holland’s aggression against him, both in striking exchanges and on the ground.
Both Luque and Holland are known for their activity in the welterweight division. Luque is entering his 23rd octagon appearance, while Holland is making his 26th walk to the cage since his UFC debut in 2018. Luque believes that his experience and preparation will give him an edge in the fight.
Factors Influencing Makhachev’s Success
Luque emphasizes that numerous factors influence a fight’s outcome, cautioning against solely focusing on grappling. He explains, “Many people think only about grappling. If this were a submission tournament I’d say, ‘He’ll guy the kill’. He’s so good on the ground. But MMA is more complex.”
Adaptation is crucial for Makhachev. Luque notes that Makhachev is likely training with bigger fighters to prepare for the welterweight division’s challenges. “I’d imagine he’s already training with bigger guys. Let’s see. We have to see in the fight,” Luque said. The ability to adapt his training and strategies to the new weight class will be vital.
Luque acknowledges Makhachev’s toughness and potential for success, stating, “He’s super tough, so I don’t think we can say he has no chances. He has a good chance at coming in and becoming champion, but he will have to work hard.” Despite the challenges, Makhachev’s skills and determination could lead him to welterweight gold.
Vicente Luque’s analysis provides valuable insights into Islam Makhachev’s potential move to the welterweight division. While Makhachev’s grappling skills are undeniable, the size and power of welterweights present significant challenges. Luque’s upcoming fight against Kevin Holland adds another layer of excitement to the welterweight landscape.
Makhachev’s success in the welterweight division hinges on his ability to adapt, increase his power, and effectively utilize his grappling skills against larger opponents. The potential matchup with Della Maddalena would be a stern test, immediately showcasing Makhachev’s ability to compete at the highest level.
Ultimately, whether Makhachev can replicate his lightweight dominance in the welterweight division remains to be seen. However, with his skill set and determination, he certainly has a “good chance” at making a significant impact. As Luque aptly puts it, “We have to see in the fight.”
Leave a Reply